The worst economic crisis in decades played out like a soap opera of epic proportions - the bad guys were vilified, speculation ran wild and drama unfolded on an almost daily basis.
We've tracked the credit crunch in the UK and beyond, from the very first rumblings of trouble to the official end point, and present it here in what may be the most detailed timeline of the recession online. By using the links alongside each headline, you can find more detail about that particular event - however, rather than use traditional news sources, we've linked to quality blogs that reported on the news as it broke in an effort to accurately reflect the sentiments at ground level.
Needless to say, money.co.uk is not responsible for the quality of outside content, nor are we affiliated with any of the opinions expressed therein. That said, it is interesting to note how accurate many of the predictions made by the bloggers below came to be.
"There will come a day unlike any other day, an event unlike any other event and a crisis unlike any other crisis. It will emerge out of nowhere at a time no one expects."
Jim Puplava, Financialsense.com, back in 2000.
"Ultimately, New Century Financial is to blame for its own bankruptcy. The company rode a wave in the
mortgage business without adequate fraud prevention controls and credit underwriting standards in place."
G. Barry Nielsen, Investopedia
"In our opinion, Bear Stearns will not be the last firm to experience problems with hedge funds, and investors are in for a further rude awakening as the hedge fund industry continues along its under-regulated path of seeking maximum investment performance. Many hedge funds are overextending, and frankly have no idea as to their actual open positions in the financial world."
William Piracci, Trading Options Lab
"This led to a cataclysmic series of bank collapses all across the increasingly interconnected financial world, leaving policymakers utterly befuddled about what was taking place and how best to deal with it. A downturn enabled by the ideologies of Thatcher and Regan and implemented by large, too-big-to-fail financial institutions, took hold and wreaked havoc."
Sean Kippin, The Beaver Online
"There is considerable stigma attached to using these facilities, and rightly so. Any bank that had better funding options would use them. When the Fed lowered the discount rate, only a few banks stepped forward after some exhortation by the Fed, and for the most part it was a symbolic gesture by banks who did not need the money."
Yves Smith, Naked Capitalism
"Given the bubble that started to grow in housing and the corresponding flood of mortgage availability that arose to inflate it, a real need for regulation did start to emerge. But the FSA fluffed it."
Richard Dyson, Thisismoney.co.uk
"[Stan] O’Neal now joins a long list of former Masters of the Universe trying to burnish their badly tarnished reputations… The essence of O’Neal’s argument: ‘Hey, I might have run the company into the ground, but it was that damn Cribiore who prevented me from getting a better price for my shareholders.’"
The Big Picture
"When it comes to our economic crisis, which was triggered by the cratering of the subprime market, both parties share much blame. The policies and actions of both parties, along with their deep coziness with the financial sector, created a bubble that was destined to explode."
Bob Morris, Politics in the Zeros
"…All the biggest banking entities that are dying were all celebrated as ‘The Best Bankers on Earth’ and the CEOs were the most highly paid executives on earth. Now, each one falls just one or two years after being crowned… The idea that all of them are fools and knaves is slowly dawning."
Elaine Meinel Supkis, Money Matters
"JP Morgan agrees to acquire Bear Stearns via a share exchange for the equivalent of $2 per share. The money for this is provided by the Federal Reserve Bank, which agreed to cover any potential losses if the
loan defaults. Huh? How come I don’t get no-lose deals like this?"
Jonathan, My Money Blog
"Prior to the crisis, detractors claimed the fund's role both as a lender and observer was becoming irrelevant, and it took the credit crisis to bring it back to the fore."
Chris Marshall, Citywire
"A banking system burdened by bad debt and liabilities, with a funding cliff looming; a system that is a borrowing machine, not a lending machine − is one based on the economics of the insane."
Ann, Debtonation
"Already dark clouds had starting forming over the UK housing market during the summer of 2007. To derivatives market participants… the housing market could not rise any further under these conditions, which is what actually transpired on release of subsequent house price data."
Nadeem Walayat, Marketoracle.co.uk
"While
Barclays seems to have come out of the financial crisis on top, we remain uncomfortable about the risk it has taken on. Investment banking accounts for at least half of its profits."
Erin Davis, Hemstock
"The Labour Government’s over spending and breaking their own golden rules was the key early policy mistake. Failing to implement suitable capital adequacy requirements for banks and derivatives such as Commercial Mortgage Backed Securities was another."
Martin, Inspired Assets
"Labour’s past role in the economic situation will be forgotten as quickly as George Bush and the Republicans similarly escaped censure in the US − instead we’ll have Gordon Brown and Alistair Darling lauded as economic sages whose wise words the Coalition and the voters should never have spurned."
Andrew Lewin
"The ‘too big to fail banks’ have benefitted from this economic calamity by solidifying their financial prowess by co-opting the government and providing generous handouts to their lot."
My Budget 360
"Letting Lehman go bust was really the point at which things went most horribly wrong for the financial system, starting a steady process of de-leveraging into a tailspin. The fear factor in the wake of Lehman was the worst thing for the average citizen because neither they nor their political or business leaders could at that point say whether the global financial system would collapse, and it very nearly did."
Martin, Inspired Assets
"The question that occurs to me is how the European banks could have been so monumentally dumb as to amass the amounts of
sovereign debt which they purportedly carry."
Tom Lindmark, Wallstreetpit.com
"It is thus misleading to argue… that banks ‘exploited a loophole’ by buying assets with low risk weights. Banks that did this were doing exactly what regulators wanted them to do: they were leveraging into securities that the regulators judged safe. Unfortunately, in both cases, the regulators' judgments were wrong."
Jeffrey Friedman, Causes of the Crisis
"Senior bank creditors have done well out of the credit crisis. Tax payers have ridden to the rescue almost every time a bank has wobbled. Each time politicians and regulators have considered hair-cutting senior creditors, they have ended up keeping their scissors in their pocket, alarmed by the predictions of widespread panic if the integrity of senior debt is not respected."
Creditflux
"Whilst taxpayers have had to sit back and watch their hard earned money being ploughed into the banking industry… it seems that the banking industry is not prepared to repay the favour for taxpayers."
The Money Stop
"The Euro might survive in the long run, but it'll suffer some touch and go moments along the way."
John Stepek, MoneyWeek
"over 50% of GDP is generated by SMEs (small and medium enterprises), over 50% of employment is provided by SMEs and more than 60% of innovation comes out of the SME sector."
Stefan Topfer, The Small Business Blog
"While FDIC chairwoman Sheila Bair said the current crisis would be "nothing compared with previous cycles, such as the savings-and-loan days," it’s actually much bigger, because the financial sector had grown to be nearly half the economy by 2006 − as measured by the earnings of the S&P 500."
Douglas French, Dailyreckoning.com
"I think the key event for the future is when TARP was changed on-the-fly from purchasing toxic assets to the government being allowed to do what it wants even if that means car companies. That really goes to the heart of what consensual government is all about."
Eddy Elfenbein, Crossingwallstreet.com
"The World Bank and regional development banks (such as the African Development Bank) were encouraged to boost lending, backed by commitments of the G20 to raise the capital base of these multilateral banks."
Prof. Jeffrey Sachs, VOX
"The issue is not one of ‘running out’ so much as it is not having enough to keep our economy running… a shortfall between demand and supply as little as 10 to 15 percent is enough to wholly shatter an oil-dependent economy and reduce its citizenry to poverty."
Matt Savinar, Life After the Oil Crash
"Having survived the 2007/2008 financial crisis by the skin of their teeth, UK banks, along with many of their counterparts around the world, will be facing significant challenges in the next few years."
Dan Jardine, city.GENT
"The Governor claimed to understand the reasons for the panic but never seems to have asked himself what would have happened had he done things differently. Or if he did, he has emerged from the exercise with a remarkable sense of self-satisfaction."
Adrian Hamilton, The Independent
"The countries that had been muddling through divided into two groups: those where government credit was unimpaired continued to muddle through, while countries like Greece and Ireland, where government credit was impaired, had no choice but to pursue austerity and try to restore fiscal confidence."
J. Bradford DeLong, Project Syndicate
"If they do keep going like this, then there really will be no tomorrow, certainly for the paper pound, which could eventually reach its intrinsic value, which is that of poor quality firelighters."
Andy Duncan, The Cobden Centre
"Which approach will be more successful: the British one that will sharply reduce government spending and fiscal deficits, or the American one that believes these deficits are necessary, and perhaps even too small, to get this country out of the recession?"
The Becker-Posner Blog
"All economists and reports have suggested that the recovery will be fragile…"
Tom Lindmark, UK Recession.com
"For many including myself it will take years to get back to where we were though hopefully we will then be much wiser for having experienced it."
Martin, Inspired Assets