We Got it Wrong on Recession, Darling Says

by Michael Ross
Posted by Hannah on 6 April 2009
We Got it Wrong on Recession, Darling Says

According to the chancellor, the government did not expect the recession to become as bad as it has.

The current recession has taken the government by surprise, the chancellor admitted in an interview yesterday.

Speaking to the BBC, Alistair Darling said that the downturn had proved to be "far deeper" than initially expected. This follows the release of new reports suggesting that the UK will face a recession of near-unprecedented severity in 2009.

In November's Pre-Budget Report, the government forecast an overall annual economic contraction of just 0.75-1.25 percent. This is out of kilter with more recent reports from other organisations, with the Paris-based Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development predicting last week a 3.7 percent contraction for the UK in 2009.

The government will issue an updated forecast in the Budget, to be delivered by Mr Darling later this month.

In the interview, the chancellor also hinted that the state of the public balance sheet remained a concern. The government is facing big shortfalls over the years to come, due to the cost of its fiscal stimulus schemes aimed at boosting the economy as well as a drop in tax revenue caused by the downturn.

The International Monetary Fund predicted recently that 2010's deficit would exceed 11 percent of total domestic output for the year - a level that is unsustainable over the long term.

"I have to balance the need to support our economy with the fact that you have got to ensure that, in the medium term, all countries live within their means," Mr Darling said.

Also speaking yesterday, shadow business secretary Ken Clarke told the broadcaster that debt was also a concern for the Conservatives. "Because of the crushing burden of debt that we have, public debt and household debt, I think our problems when we come out will be very great and the consequences of this appalling recession will be with us for some years to come," he commented.

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Brian Harper
on 12 Apr 2009 20:16
Could our P.M.& Chancellor be the most incompetant persons? for50 years to try and tell us we have had 11 years of boom; By my maths when coming into power the footsie was standing at 6750 now at 3900 just over 40% lower ;where did our manufacting industry go to? the same place as all our gold sold for a song!! Social worker nos; doubled yet work rate halved; so many white elephants too numerous to list;council tax up 5%;sent out bills change your mind ,4months time reduce to2% increase; has anyone in this government made a good finance judgement on anything yet? i would like to know! The last Prime Minister Tony Blair should be praised for jumping ship at the best time possible